OpenAI Missed Multiple Revenue Targets, Casting Doubt on 2026 IPO
SAN FRANCISCO — OpenAI has missed multiple internal revenue targets, raising questions about whether the artificial intelligence company will pursue an initial public offering this year, according to an analysis published by Morningstar.
The investment research firm reported that the ChatGPT maker’s financial performance has fallen short of projections on several occasions, factors that could make the company reluctant to face the scrutiny of public markets in 2026, Morningstar said.
The findings come as OpenAI, valued at $300 billion in its most recent private funding round, faces mounting pressure to demonstrate a viable path to profitability. The company has been spending heavily on compute infrastructure and talent as it races to develop more advanced AI systems.
OpenAI’s potential public listing has been widely anticipated as a benchmark for AI company valuations, with analysts noting that any delay could affect investor sentiment across the sector.
The revenue shortfalls also draw attention to the pace of enterprise adoption of generative AI tools, which has proceeded more slowly than some industry projections anticipated, Morningstar noted. While OpenAI has expanded its product lineup — including enterprise subscriptions, API access, and consumer-facing tools — converting usage into revenue at the scale implied by its valuation remains an open question.
OpenAI has not publicly commented on specific IPO timing. The company has previously indicated interest in eventually going public but has not committed to a firm timeline.
For investors who have poured billions into OpenAI through private funding rounds, the revenue misses highlight the distance between industry projections and commercial results that continues to define the AI sector in 2026.